Over the last 3 seasons, the top 10 drafted fantasy QBs finished in the top 10 68% of the time. The top 10 WRs and RBs finished in the top 10 only 42% of the time. So, its time to embrace the fantasy QB in your first couple rounds.
We did an experiment in a couple 12 team standard scoring mock drafts where passing TDs were worth 5 points.
We had the 6th pick and decided it was a good spot to go with a QB. In 5 point or more passing TD leagues, we suggest that 3 QBs should be gone in the first round.
These are our picks with ADP values listed after each:
1. QB Drew Brees
2. WR Julio Jones
3. WR Hakeem Nicks
4. RB Doug Martin
5. RB Reggie Bush
6. RB Donald Brown
7. QB Ben Roethlisberger
8. WR Pierre Garcon
9. RB Jacquizz Rodgers
10. TE Jared Cook
11. WR Randall Cobb
12. WR Vincent Brown
Brady was available but we picked Brees as the safer of the two with a much better schedule and a better pass blocking offensive line.
Sorry it no longer news, but Julio Jones is a must own. we think he has CalvinJohnson potential and we feel he must be taken in the second or his hype will make him gone. He was worth it for us in the mid second.
Hakeem Nicks may rise up draft boards once practice reports start coming in, but a couple weeks before even the latest fantasy drafts and he has an ADP of 36 and was still there. He may move up to the second, and if so we would take Steve Smith CAR here.
Now time for the RBs. Our first RB is in the 4th round and Doug Martin was there with an ADP of 45. We like his chances of starting early and keeping the job. He is the 17th RB on our board and the only left in the 4th.
Reggie Bush was a throw away best on the board at the Rb position. Possibly evidence that this theory doesn’t work but he is sa starter and could have trade value in the future.
Our next RB choice is our third in a row to grab every starter left on the board. Donald Brown is one of our sleeper picks. He is our #27 back but we see good RB2 production out of him this year. He has no competition and enjoys a top ten SOS. Over the second half of last season, Brown had 492 rushing yards, 16th in the NFL and more than LeSean McCoy, C.J. Spiller, Frank Gore and Roy Helu had.
This is part of our strategy this year: take a low end QB1 in the middle rounds for trade bait. Some owners are still looking for their starting QB here and you can make them a customer by grabbing the best left on the board. Ben Roethlisberger is our #12 QB and Matt Schaub would have been a take here too. 7th round is good for the Qb as it is light on other position talent.
Not its all sleepers. We go back to WR with Pierre Garcon. We like Pierre because of his opportunities and the 6th easiest schedule for fantasy WRs. He is the heavy favorite to lead the Redskins in receiving this season, qualifying as a WR3 with sneaky upside.
We could have taken our 9th pick in the 8th if we started to feel the heat on RBs. We must have RB Jacquizz Rodgers. Yes its two Falcons on offense and this goes against our normal thinking, but WRs and RBs from ATL enjoy the #1 easiest and #7 easiest schedules and will both be featured in a new-era young lineup. Love him as a solid flex play and eventual every week RB2.
Everyone is going buts about the TE position this year. We say that if you miss the top two (Graham and Gronk in that order), then wait on Jared Cook. We took Cook in the 10th and could see him in the 9th too. We picked Jimmy Graham as the “who???” TE of our 2011 preseason and Cook is that guy this year. Do not expect record breaking numbers but you could see a top 5 TE season out of Cook.
Just spent some time at Packer training camp last weekend and couldn’t stop watching WR/KR Randall Cobb. Little bummed he scored int he preseason the week prior since that will bump him up a round. But we like him to be valuable as a flex even if Driver sticks around. But Cobb hs the chance to move into the starting slot spot in the league’s most dangerous passing game. If your league give you points for return TDs, he is a bonus.
Our final skill position pick is SD WR Vincent Brown. The Chargers have a top 12 SOS and all other WRs on SD have tough CB matchups. Brown has 5 green matchups with two of them in the fantasy playoffs. Norv Turner indicated the 2011 third-rounder will “figure real strongly in what we do.”
From here grab a kicker and a DST. We feel strongly about fishing waivers for DST matchups every week. Its a solid strategy…unless, of course, there are 5 other answers in your league doing the same thing.
We are sure a lot of this will change, but we feel really good about this radical concept of going QB WR WR RB RB in standard scoring draft this season.
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