more bacon than the pan can handle
Wednesday June 19th 2013

REST OF SEASON PROJECTIONS

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Latest Update: 11/9/12
One of the advantages of our new algorithm system is the ability to forecast values for each player across the remainder of the fantasy season (thru week 16).

We update these each week so check back often to see how your players rise and fall. Also follow us on twitter (@fantasyomatic) for update alerts and details on players on the move as the season goes on.

Listen to the explanation here:

Why is This Data Unique?: If you want to learn the gory details then check out our algorithm page. In short, its a new mathematical approach to fantasy football that uses a “Rating” system to determine player value each week. Think if it as a “MoneyBall” approach to fantasy football.

Each player’s rating is determined by their previous performances, weighted by the strength of the opponents they had faced thus far.

Then we weight against the strength of the defense(s) they face (this week and for the rest of the season). The defense strength is also weighted against the players at the same position they have faced thus far this season and how many points they scored.

What this data is NOT: Some guy trolling over a list of names manually moving them around based on his gut.

How To Use This Data:

Lineup: Use this each week to help decide between bubble players on your roster. Start the player of the to with the highest rating. You can even compare players across positions since the rating works as an overall value against a scoring system.

Trades:: Simply compare player ratings to determine their value MOVING FORWARD rather than in the past. If you see players dropping in rating value each week, that means they have already faced their easiest opponents or their production is trending downward, or both. Vice versa for players moving up.

Waivers:: Drop players trending down and pickup players trending up. Also use low ratings to decide which players to drop.
BYE Weeks:: Pickup players with high ratings on your BYE weeks as good value matchup plays.

Full Disclosure: Week three is the first week we can even get data out of the system since its based partially on recent player performance. So players with only one or two weeks of data will skew higher than they will as more weeks of data come in. The good news is that they fine tune themselves as each week goes by. Most notably, the Playoff ratings will be fine tuned by midseason but even have value this early in the season for trade evaluation, etc.

In the meantime, enjoy this new tool found exclusively here on fantasyomatic.com

QUARTERBACKS:




RUNNING BACKS >>>

Follow us on Twitter for constant fantasy updates and also feel free to send questions to: @FantasyoMatic

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